GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Capital Markets » China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (HKSE:06099) » Definitions » Peter Lynch Fair Value

China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) Peter Lynch Fair Value

: HK$6.52 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, China Merchants Securities Co's PEG is 1. China Merchants Securities Co's 5-Year TTM Book Value Growth Rate is 6.34. China Merchants Securities Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$1.03. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is HK$6.52.

As of today (2024-04-19), China Merchants Securities Co's share price is HK$6.00. China Merchants Securities Co's Peter Lynch fair value is HK$6.52. Therefore, China Merchants Securities Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.92.


The historical rank and industry rank for China Merchants Securities Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06099' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.13   Med: 1.59   Max: 6.12
Current: 2.21


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of China Merchants Securities Co was 6.12. The lowest was 1.13. And the median was 1.59.


HKSE:06099's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
72.38% of 239 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 1.19 vs HKSE:06099: 2.21

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


China Merchants Securities Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Merchants Securities Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Merchants Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.30 6.52 6.93 3.36 2.93

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.36 3.58 3.45 2.93 2.93

Competitive Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, China Merchants Securities Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Securities Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, China Merchants Securities Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Securities Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



China Merchants Securities Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

China Merchants Securities Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM Book Value Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 6.34 *1.028
=6.52

China Merchants Securities Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) uses the latest annual data, which was HK$1.03.

* Note that for companies that do not have enough quarterly data to calculate the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate, we use the annual data for the calculation.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM Book Value Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data is the latest quarter data. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


China Merchants Securities Co  (HKSE:06099) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of Book Value per share over the past 5 years, which is 6.34 instead of 15 in this case.

China Merchants Securities Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=6.00/6.52
=0.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Merchants Securities Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Merchants Securities Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 111, 1st Fuhua Road, Futian District, Guangdong, Shenzhen, CHN, 518046
China Merchants Securities Co Ltd is a financial service provider. Its business is divided into four segments: Wealth management and institutional business; Investment banking; Investment management; and Investment and trading. The Wealth management and institutional business include brokerage and wealth management, capital-based intermediary business, and institutional client integrated services. Investment banking business includes equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and financial advisory businesses. The Investment management business engages in securities asset management and private equity investment fund business. Investment and trading business includes the investment and trading of equity and fixed-income products and other financial products.

China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) Headlines

No Headlines