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The Scotts Miracle Gro Co (The Scotts Miracle Gro Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $16.57 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $16.57. The stock price of The Scotts Miracle Gro Co is $66.74. Therefore, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 4.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SMG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.68   Med: 2.45   Max: 5.53
Current: 4.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of The Scotts Miracle Gro Co was 5.53. The lowest was 0.68. And the median was 2.45.

SMG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.47% of 172 companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 0.945 vs SMG: 4.03

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 53.04 71.98 76.14 63.31 44.80

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.79 27.15 59.02 44.80 16.57

Competitive Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $149.31.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*149.312+-385.4/0.8)/56.700
=16.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co  (NYSE:SMG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

The Scotts Miracle Gro Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=66.74/16.574122354439
=4.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Scotts Miracle Gro Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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The Scotts Miracle Gro Co (The Scotts Miracle Gro Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
14111 Scottslawn Road, Marysville, OH, USA, 43041
Scotts Miracle-Gro is the largest provider of gardening and lawncare products in the United States. The majority of the company's sales are to large retailers that include Home Depot, Lowe's, and Walmart. Scotts Miracle-Gro can sell its products at a higher price point than its competition because of a well-recognized portfolio of brands that include Miracle-Gro, Roundup, Ortho, Tomcat, and Scotts. Scotts is also the leading supplier of cannabis-growing equipment in North America through its Hawthorne business.
Executives
Nancy G. Mistretta director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Kelly Thomas N Jr director C/O THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Hagedorn Partnerships L P 10 percent owner SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO PRODUCTS INC, 800 PORT WASHINGTON BLVD, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050
James Hagedorn director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO C/O SCOTTS CO, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Julie Demuesy officer: SVP, CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCES 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Mark D Kingdon director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Stephen L Johnson director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Edith Aviles director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Dimiter Todorov officer: EVP, GC & CORPORATE SECRETARY 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Matthew E Garth officer: EVP & CFO 622 THIRD AVENUE, 38TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
David C Evans officer: EVP and CFO C/O THE SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO COMPANY, 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Peter E Shumlin director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Brian E Sandoval director 14111 SCOTTSLAWN ROAD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
James D King officer: EVP and CCO 14111 SCOTTSLAWN RD, MARYSVILLE OH 43041
Gerald Volas director C/O TREX COMPANY INC., 160 EXETER DRIVE, WINCHESTER VA 22603