Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-19), Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $103.07. The stock price of Post Holdings is $104.00. Therefore, Post Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
POST'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66 Med: 0.8 Max: 1.01
Current: 1.01
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Post Holdings was 1.01. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 0.80.
POST's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 56.1% of 1221
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.11
vs POST: 1.01
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Post Holdings Annual Data
Trend
Sep14
Sep15
Sep16
Sep17
Sep18
Sep19
Sep20
Sep21
Sep22
Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
75.25
85.71
91.58
91.18
98.65
Post Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19
Jun19
Sep19
Dec19
Mar20
Jun20
Sep20
Dec20
Mar21
Jun21
Sep21
Dec21
Mar22
Jun22
Sep22
Dec22
Mar23
Jun23
Sep23
Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
89.55
91.87
99.19
98.65
103.07
Competitive Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Post Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Post Holdings (NYSE:POST) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Post Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
104.00
/
103.07274964875
=
1.01
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Post Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Post Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Post Holdings (Post Holdings) Business Description
Post Holdings Inc is an consumer packaged goods holding company. It operates in Post Consumer Brands which Includes branded and private label ready-to-eat cereals, Weetabix it Includes the businesses of Weetabix Limited, which Post acquired in July 2017 and which produces and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, Foodservice which Includes primarily egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels from the businesses of MFI Holding Corporation, lastly Refrigerated Retail segment Provides refrigerated retail products, inclusive of side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausage, cheese and other dairy and refrigerated products.
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