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Altria Group (Altria Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $40.56 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Altria Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $40.56. The stock price of Altria Group is $41.30. Therefore, Altria Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Altria Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.49   Max: 2.51
Current: 1.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Altria Group was 2.51. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.49.

MO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
53.12% of 32 companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs MO: 1.01

Altria Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Altria Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Altria Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.84 33.51 33.94 35.58 40.56

Altria Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 35.58 38.07 36.00 39.65 40.56

Competitive Comparison

For the Tobacco subindustry, Altria Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altria Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Altria Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altria Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Altria Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Altria Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $7,997.60.

Altria Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*7997.6+-3540/0.8)/1768.000
=40.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Altria Group  (NYSE:MO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Altria Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=41.30/40.562762400389
=1.02

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Altria Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Altria Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Altria Group (Altria Group) Business Description

Address
6601 West Broad Street, Richmond, VA, USA, 23230
Altria comprises Philip Morris USA, U.S. Smokeless Tobacco, John Middleton, Horizon Innovations and Helix Innovations. It holds a 10% interest in the world's largest brewer, Anheuser-Busch InBev. Through its tobacco subsidiaries, Altria holds the leading position in cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the United States and the number-two spot in machine-made cigars. The company's Marlboro brand is the leading cigarette brand in the U.S. with a 42% annual share in 2022. Altria holds a 42% stake in cannabis manufacturer Cronos, has acquired Njoy Holdings in 2023, and recently exited its strategic investment in Juul Labs.
Executives
Clarke Ian L.t. director 6601 W BROAD ST, RICHMOND VA 23230
Robert Matthew Davis director 6601 W. BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Jacinto J Hernandez director 777 HIDDEN RIDGE, IRVING TX 75038
Mario Max Yzaguirre director 1515 WEST 190TH STREET, SUITE 275, GARDENA CA 90248
Marjorie Mary Connelly director 2580 PALMER DR, KESWICK VA 22947
Ellen R Strahlman director ALTRIA GROUP, INC., 6601 W. BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Nabil Y Sakkab director 6601 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Virginia E Shanks director 4170 CAUGHLIN PARKWAY, RENO NV 89519
Casteen John T Iii director 301 S. COLLEGE STREET, 30TH FLOOR, NC0630, CHARLOTTE NC 28288-0630
Kathryn B. Mcquade director 6601 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Kiely W Leo Iii director
Mark Newman director 1011 WARRENVILLE ROAD, SUITE 600, LISLE IL 60532
Kelly Ennis Debra J director 4405 A INTERNATIONAL BLVD, NORCROSS GA 30093
Surgner W Hildebrandt Jr officer: VP, Corp. Sec'y & Assoc. GC 6601 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230
Daniel J Bryant officer: Vice President & Treasurer 6601 WEST BROAD STREET, RICHMOND VA 23230

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