Lamb Weston Holdings (Lamb Weston Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $28.15 (As of Today)

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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-20), Lamb Weston Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $28.15. The stock price of Lamb Weston Holdings is $81.00. Therefore, Lamb Weston Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lamb Weston Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LW' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.63 Med: 3.57 Max: 4.79
Current: 2.88

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lamb Weston Holdings was 4.79. The lowest was 2.63. And the median was 3.57.

LW's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
82.72% of 1221 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.1 vs LW: 2.88

Lamb Weston Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lamb Weston Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lamb Weston Holdings Annual Data

Trend

May14

May15

May16

May17

May18

May19

May20

May21

May22

May23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

23.37

20.50

27.83

Lamb Weston Holdings Quarterly Data
	May19	Aug19	Nov19	Feb20	May20	Aug20	Nov20	Feb21	May21	Aug21	Nov21	Feb22	May22	Aug22	Nov22	Feb23	May23	Aug23	Nov23	Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF																20.99	27.83	29.52	30.23	28.15

Competitive Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Lamb Weston Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Lamb Weston Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Lamb Weston Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lamb Weston Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Lamb Weston Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lamb Weston Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $201.44.

Lamb Weston Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(13.319242326454	*	201.44	+	1758.2	*	0.8)	/	145.300
	=	28.15

Lamb Weston Holdings (NYSE:LW) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lamb Weston Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	81.00	/	28.145823635518
	=	2.88

Lamb Weston Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Lamb Weston Holdings (Lamb Weston Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0L5:Germany 0L5:Germany L1WH34:Brazil

Address

599 S. Rivershore Lane, Eagle, ID, USA, 83616

Website

https://www.lambweston.com

Lamb Weston is North America's largest and the world's second-largest producer of branded and private-label frozen potato products, both by volume and value. The company's portfolio is anchored by French fries, but it also sells sweet potato fries, tater tots, diced potatoes, mashed potatoes, hash browns, and chips. Nearly 70% of revenue comes from its home market of North America, with none of the other 100 countries the company sells into representing a significant share. McDonald's is Lamb Weston's single largest customer at 13% of fiscal 2023 sales, with no other company representing more than 10%. Lamb Weston became an independent company in 2016 when it was spun off from Conagra.

Executives

William G Jurgensen	director
Eryk J Spytek	officer: See Remarks	599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Rita Fisher	director	1900 W. FIELD COURT, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Sukshma Rajagopalan	officer: Chief Info and Digital Officer	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Marc Schroeder	officer: President, International	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Sharon L. Miller	officer: Senior Vice President	599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Gregory W Jones	officer: Vice President and Controller	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Bernadette M Madarieta	officer: Vice President and Controller	599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Michael Jared Smith	officer: SVP, Growth & Strategy	599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Gerardo Scheufler	officer: SVP, Chief Supply Chain Off	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Steven J Younes	officer: CHIEF HUMAN RESOURCES OFFICER	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
John C Hatto	officer: Senior Vice President	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616
Robert A Niblock	director	1605 CURTIS BRIDGE ROAD, WILKESBORO NC 28697
Peter J Bensen	director	MCDONALD'S CORPORATION, 2915 JORIE BOULEVARD, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Thomas P. Werner	director, officer: President	C/O LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS, INC., 599 S. RIVERSHORE LANE, EAGLE ID 83616