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Lear (LEA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $159.00 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Lear's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $159.00. The stock price of Lear is $132.35. Therefore, Lear's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lear's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LEA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 0.87   Max: 1.27
Current: 0.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lear was 1.27. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 0.87.

LEA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
59.3% of 887 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs LEA: 0.83

Lear Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lear's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lear Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 263.09 194.41 182.52 163.74 159.00

Lear Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 163.74 154.85 156.62 151.55 159.00

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Lear's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lear Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lear's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lear's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lear Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lear's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $563.12.

Lear's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*563.12+4918.8*0.8)/58.465
=159.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lear  (NYSE:LEA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lear's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=132.35/159.0035130543
=0.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lear Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lear's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lear (LEA) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
21557 Telegraph Road, Southfield, MI, USA, 48033
Lear designs, develops, and manufactures automotive seating and electrical systems and components. Seating components include frames and mechanisms, covers (leather and woven fabric), seat heating and cooling, foam, and headrests. Automotive electrical distribution and connection systems and electronic systems include wiring harnesses, terminals and connectors, on-board battery chargers, high-voltage battery management systems, high-voltage power distribution systems, domain controllers, telematics control units, gateway modules, vehicle positioning for automated and autonomous driving, embedded control software, cloud and mobile device software and services, and cybersecurity. Lear's largest customer and regional market is GM and North America at 20% and 44% of 2022 revenue, respectively.
Executives
Raymond E Scott director, officer: President & CEO
Carl A. Esposito officer: SVP & President, E-Systems 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Jason M Cardew officer: SVP & CFO 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Frank C Orsini officer: EVP & President, Seating 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Mallett Conrad L Jr director
Greg C Smith director FORD MOTOR COMPANY, 21175 OAKWOOD BLVD, DEARBORN MI 48124
Marianne Vidershain officer: VP, Treasurer 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Jonathan F Foster director 777 THIRD AVE, 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas A Didonato officer: SVP & CAO AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS, INC., 150 THORN HILL DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15095
Alicia J. Davis officer: SVP, Corp Dev & Inv Relations 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033
Roger A Krone director
Patricia L Lewis director C/O UNITEDHEALTH GROUP, 9900 BREN ROAD EAST, MN008-T502, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Bradley M Halverson director 100 N.E. ADAMS STREET, PEORIA IL 61629
Shari L Burgess officer: VP & Treasurer
Harry Albert Kemp officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec 21557 TELEGRAPH ROAD, SOUTHFIELD MI 48033

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