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Hilton Worldwide Holdings (Hilton Worldwide Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $26.36 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-24), Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $26.36. The stock price of Hilton Worldwide Holdings is $205.41. Therefore, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 7.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HLT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.11   Med: 4.38   Max: 7.48
Current: 7.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hilton Worldwide Holdings was 7.48. The lowest was 2.11. And the median was 4.38.

HLT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
92.16% of 561 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 1.21 vs HLT: 7.48

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.22 25.42 22.69 25.70 26.36

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.70 24.45 26.84 27.77 26.36

Competitive Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hilton Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,024.16.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1024.16+-2360/0.8)/258.000
=26.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings  (NYSE:HLT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=205.41/26.35799725009
=7.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings (Hilton Worldwide Holdings) Business Description

Address
7930 Jones Branch Drive, Suite 1100, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 1,127,430 rooms across its 20 plus brands addressing the premium economy scale through luxury segments as of Dec. 31, 2022. Hampton and Hilton are the two largest brands by total room count at 28% and 13%, respectively, as of Dec. 31, 2022. Recent brands launched over the last few years include Home2, Curio, Canopy, Spark, Tru, Tempo, and Project H3. Managed and franchised represent the vast majority of adjusted EBITDA, predominantly from the Americas regions.
Executives
Michael W Duffy officer: See Remarks 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Anne-marie W D'angelo officer: See Remarks 801 E. 86TH AVENUE, MERRILLVILLE IN 46410
Kristin Ann Campbell officer: See Remarks 500 STAPLES DRIVE, FRAMINGHAM MA 01702
Laura Fuentes officer: See Remarks 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Douglas M Steenland director 2700 LONE OAK PARKWAY, EAGAN MN 55121
Matthew W Schuyler officer: See Remarks 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Raymond E Mabus director C/O DANA INCORPORATED, 3939 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, MAUMEE OH 43537
Kevin J Jacobs officer: See Remarks 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Martin Rinck officer: See Remarks 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Christopher W Silcock officer: See Remarks 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Chris Carr director 7930 JONES BRANCH DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Jonathan W. Witter officer: See Remarks 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Ian Russell Carter officer: See Remarks HILTON HOTELS CORPORATION, 9336 CIVIC CENTER DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Hna Tourism Group Co., Ltd. 10 percent owner HNA BUILDING, NO. 7 GUOXING ROAD, HAIKOU F4 570203
Blackstone Real Estate Associates Vi L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVE., NEW YORK NY 10154