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Energy Transfer LP (Energy Transfer LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $19.89 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Energy Transfer LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.89. The stock price of Energy Transfer LP is $15.77. Therefore, Energy Transfer LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Energy Transfer LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ET' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.69   Med: 0.78   Max: 0.8
Current: 0.79

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Energy Transfer LP was 0.80. The lowest was 0.69. And the median was 0.78.

ET's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
55.38% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.85 vs ET: 0.79

Energy Transfer LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Energy Transfer LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Energy Transfer LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.00 -0.79 10.34 15.27 19.89

Energy Transfer LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.27 16.78 17.82 18.78 19.89

Competitive Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Energy Transfer LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Energy Transfer LP Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Energy Transfer LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Energy Transfer LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Energy Transfer LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Energy Transfer LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,769.28.

Energy Transfer LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*3769.28+36682*0.8)/3279.900
=19.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Energy Transfer LP  (NYSE:ET) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Energy Transfer LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.77/19.887945017726
=0.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Energy Transfer LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Energy Transfer LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Energy Transfer LP (Energy Transfer LP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8111 Westchester Drive, Suite 600, Dallas, TX, USA, 75225
Energy Transfer owns a large platform of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid assets primarily in Texas and the U.S. midcontinent region. It also has gathering and processing facilities, one of the largest fractionation facilities in the U.S., and fuel distribution. Energy Transfer also owns the Lake Charles gas liquefaction facility. It combined its publicly traded limited and general partnerships in October 2018.
Executives
Mccrea Marshall S Iii director, officer: See Remarks
Thomas P Mason officer: EVP and General Counsel 3738 OAK LAWN AVE, DALLAS TX 75219
Bradford D. Whitehurst officer: CFO 100 CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 450, AUSTIN TX 78701
Kelcy L Warren director, 10 percent owner
Richard D Brannon director C/O CH4 ENERGY SIX, LLC, 5128 APACHE PLUME ROAD, SUITE 300, FORT WORTH TX 76109
James M. Wright officer: EVP, GC & CCO 1300 MAIN STREET, HOUSTON TX 77002
Dylan Bramhall officer: EVP & Group CFO 8111 WESTCHESTER DRIVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75225
Michael K Grimm director 3141 HOOD STREET, SUITE 350, DALLAS TX 75219
Thomas E Long officer: Chief Financial Officer 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2775, DENVER CO 80202
Matthew S. Ramsey director 6002 DEERWOOD, HOUSTON TX 77057
Ray C Davis director 5950 SHERRY LANE, SUITE 550, DALLAS TX 75225
Ray W Washburne director 47 HIGHLAND PARK VILLAGE, SUITE 200, DALLAS TX 75205
James Richard Perry director 1108 LAVACA, SUITE 110 #143, AUSTIN TX 78701
Troy Sturrock officer: SVP & Controller 1039 NORTH OAK CLIFF BOULEVARD, DALLAS TX 75208
Steven R. Anderson director 1818 MARKET STREET, SUITE 1500, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103