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Commercial Metals Co (Commercial Metals Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $54.93 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Commercial Metals Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $54.93. The stock price of Commercial Metals Co is $55.21. Therefore, Commercial Metals Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Commercial Metals Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CMC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 2.26   Max: 9.31
Current: 1.01

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Commercial Metals Co was 9.31. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 2.26.

CMC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
61.97% of 476 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.735 vs CMC: 1.01

Commercial Metals Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Commercial Metals Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Commercial Metals Co Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.75 9.22 11.81 11.39 34.58

Commercial Metals Co Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.78 27.69 34.58 51.08 54.93

Competitive Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Commercial Metals Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Commercial Metals Co Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Commercial Metals Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Commercial Metals Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Commercial Metals Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Commercial Metals Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $207.09.

Commercial Metals Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*207.09312+4222.447*0.8)/117.524
=54.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Commercial Metals Co  (NYSE:CMC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Commercial Metals Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=55.21/54.932701793206
=1.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Commercial Metals Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Commercial Metals Co (Commercial Metals Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6565 North MacArthur Boulevard, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Commercial Metals Co operates steel mills, steel fabrication plants, and metal recycling facilities in the United States and manufactures rebar and structural steel, which are key product categories for the nonresidential construction sector. The Company has two reportable segments: North America and Europe.
Executives
Barbara Smith director, officer: Chairman, President & CEO 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IVING TX 75039
Stephen William Simpson officer: SVP, N. American Steel Group 6565 NORTH MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Peter R Matt director 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, STE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Lindsay L Sloan officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, STE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Ty L Garrison officer: SVP Operations 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, STE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Robert S Wetherbee director MINERALS TECHNOLOGIES INC, 622 THIRD AVENUE 38TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
John R Mcpherson director 1200 URBAN CENTER DRIVE, BIRMINGHAM AL 35242
Tracy L Porter officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Gary E Mccullough director 231 N. MARTINGALE ROAD, SCHAUMBURG IL 60173
Jody K Absher officer: VP General Counsel & Corp Sec 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD, STE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Paul James Lawrence officer: VP & Chief Financial Officer 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Adam R Hickey officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IRVING TX 75039
Lisa M Barton director AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER COMPANY, INC., 1 RIVERSIDE PLAZA, COLUMBUS OH 43215
J David Smith director GMS INC., 100 CRESCENT CENTRE PARKWAY, SUITE 800, TUCKER GA 30084
Charles L Szews director 6565 N. MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 800, IRVING TX 75039