GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:SUPN) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (Supernus Pharmaceuticals) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $35.15 (As of Today)
View and export this data going back to 2012. Start your Free Trial

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-19), Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $35.15. The stock price of Supernus Pharmaceuticals is $29.34. Therefore, Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SUPN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.65   Med: 0.85   Max: 30.06
Current: 0.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Supernus Pharmaceuticals was 30.06. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 0.85.

SUPN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.3% of 599 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.51 vs SUPN: 0.83

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.68 38.55 43.66 41.01 35.15

Supernus Pharmaceuticals Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.01 38.49 36.55 35.58 35.15

Competitive Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Supernus Pharmaceuticals Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Supernus Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $126.75.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*126.75232+921.516*0.8)/55.303
=35.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Supernus Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:SUPN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=29.34/35.150705242107
=0.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Supernus Pharmaceuticals Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Supernus Pharmaceuticals's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Supernus Pharmaceuticals (Supernus Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9715 Key West Avenue, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850
Supernus Pharmaceuticals Inc is a specialty pharmaceutical company. The company is engaged in developing and commercializing products for the treatment of central nervous system diseases, including neurological and psychiatric disorders. The Company's diverse neuroscience portfolio includes approved treatments for epilepsy, migraine, attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), hypomobility in Parkinson's Disease (PD), cervical dystonia, chronic sialorrhea, dyskinesia in PD patients receiving levodopa-based therapy, and drug-induced extrapyramidal reactions in adult patients. The company products include Trokendi XR, Oxtellar XR, Qelbree, APOKYN, XADAGO, MYOBLOC, GOCOVRI, and Osmolex ER.
Executives
Tami Tillotson Martin officer: Sr. V.P., Regulatory Affairs C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Newhall Charles W Iii director 1119 ST PAUL ST, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Frederick M. Hudson director 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Frank Mottola officer: Sr VP, Quality, GMP Oper. & IT 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Bethany Sensenig director C/O 9 METERS BIOPHARMA, INC., 8480 HONEYCUTT ROAD, SUITE 120, RALEIGH NC 27615
Jack A. Khattar director, officer: President, CEO C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Padmanabh P. Bhatt officer: Sr. VP of IP, CSO C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Timothy C Dec officer: Senior Vice-President & CFO C/O OPGEN, INC., 708 QUINCE ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 205, GAITHERSBURG MD 20878
Jonathan Rubin officer: SVP, Chief Medical Officer C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Schwabe Stefan K.f. officer: Executive Vice President R&D C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Gregory S Patrick officer: VP, Chief Financial Officer C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
James Patrick Kelly officer: Executive Vice-President & CFO C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Carrolee Barlow director C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 9715 KEY WEST AVENUE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Victor Vaughn officer: Sr. VP of Sales C/O SUPERNUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1550 EAST GUDE DRIVE, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
M James Barrett director, 10 percent owner 1119 ST PAUL STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (Supernus Pharmaceuticals) Headlines