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Nexstar Media Group (Nexstar Media Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $406.01 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-15), Nexstar Media Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $406.01. The stock price of Nexstar Media Group is $159.76. Therefore, Nexstar Media Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nexstar Media Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NXST' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.98   Max: 2.35
Current: 0.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Nexstar Media Group was 2.35. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.98.

NXST's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
83.83% of 606 companies
in the Media - Diversified industry
Industry Median: 0.915 vs NXST: 0.39

Nexstar Media Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nexstar Media Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nexstar Media Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 105.38 168.62 237.27 326.47 406.01

Nexstar Media Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 326.47 354.03 376.78 379.21 406.01

Competitive Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Nexstar Media Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nexstar Media Group Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Nexstar Media Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nexstar Media Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Nexstar Media Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Nexstar Media Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $811.21.

Nexstar Media Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*811.21424+2299*0.8)/34.226
=406.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nexstar Media Group  (NAS:NXST) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Nexstar Media Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=159.76/406.00701249463
=0.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nexstar Media Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nexstar Media Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nexstar Media Group (Nexstar Media Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
545 E. John Carpenter Freeway, Suite 700, Irving, TX, USA, 75062
Nexstar is the largest television station owner/operator in the United States, with 200 stations in 116 markets. Of its 200 full-power stations, 155 are affiliated with the four national broadcasters: CBS, Fox, NBC, and ABC. The 2019 merger with Tribune made Nexstar the top broadcast affiliate for both Fox and CBS as well as the number-two partner for NBC and number three for ABC. The firm has networks in 12 of the top 20 television markets and reaches over 68% of U.S. TV households. Nexstar also owns NewsNation (formerly WGN), a nationwide pay-television network, 75% of The CW, and a 31% stake in Food Network and Cooking Channel.
Executives
Blake Russell officer: Vice President, Marketing 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Thomas Carter officer: Senior Advisor 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Charles Thomas Mcmillen director 1103 SOUTH CAROLINA AVENUE, WASHINGTON DC 20003
D Geoffrey Armstrong director 5900 PRINCESS GARDEN PARKWAY, 7TH FL, LANHAM MD 20706
Gary Weitman officer: See Remarks 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Dana Zimmer officer: President, Distribution 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Sean Compton officer: President, Networks 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Jay M. Grossman director C/O ABRY PARTNERS, LLC, 888 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02199
Michael Biard officer: President & COO C/O NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP, INC., 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Lee Ann Gliha officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, IRVING TX 75062
Perry A Sook director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Royce A. Wells director C/O YELP INC., 350 MISSION STREET, 10TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Rachel Morgan officer: EVP General Counsel 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, IRVING TX 75062
Andrew Alford officer: See Remarks 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, SUITE 700, IRVING TX 75062
Brett Jenkins officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP, INC., 545 E. JOHN CARPENTER FREEWAY, STE 700, IRVING TX 75062