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Comcast (Comcast) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

: $51.19 (As of Today)
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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-16), Comcast's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $51.19. The stock price of Comcast is $39.43. Therefore, Comcast's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Comcast's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CMCSA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.76   Med: 1   Max: 1.21
Current: 0.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Comcast was 1.21. The lowest was 0.76. And the median was 1.00.

CMCSA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
61.79% of 280 companies
in the Telecommunication Services industry
Industry Median: 1.02 vs CMCSA: 0.77

Comcast Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Comcast's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Comcast Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.71 46.65 49.98 45.69 51.19

Comcast Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.69 47.70 48.85 50.17 51.19

Competitive Comparison

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Comcast's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Comcast Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Comcast's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Comcast's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Comcast Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Comcast's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $13,420.80.

Comcast's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.478948627719*13420.8+82703*0.8)/4040.000
=51.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Comcast  (NAS:CMCSA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Comcast's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=39.43/51.187691520518
=0.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Comcast Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Comcast's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Comcast (Comcast) Business Description

Address
One Comcast Center, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19103-2838
Comcast is made up of three parts. The core cable business owns networks capable of providing television, internet access, and phone services to 62 million U.S. homes and businesses, or nearly half of the country. About 55% of the homes in this territory subscribe to at least one Comcast service. Comcast acquired NBCUniversal from General Electric in 2011. NBCU owns several cable networks, including CNBC, MSNBC, and USA, the NBC broadcast network, the Peacock streaming platform, several local NBC affiliates, Universal Studios, and several theme parks. Sky, acquired in 2018, is the dominant television provider in the U.K. and has invested heavily in proprietary content to build this position. Sky is also the largest pay-television provider in Italy and has a presence in Germany and Austria.
Executives
Jason Armstrong officer: CFO & Treasurer C/O COMCAST CORP, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Louise F. Brady director 22 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NY 07054
Baltimore Thomas J Jr director PARK HOTELS & RESORTS INC., 1775 TYSONS BLVD, 7TH FLOOR, TYSONS VA 22102
Jennifer Khoury officer: Chief Communications Officer C/O COMCAST CORP, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Kenneth J Bacon director 5404 WISCONSIN AVENUE, SUITE 410, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Daniel C. Murdock officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 1500 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
David N Watson officer: Sr. EVP 1100 CASSATT ROAD, BERWYN PA 19312
Brian L Roberts director, officer: Chairman of Board, Pres. & CEO COMCAST CORP, ONE COMCAST CENTER, 1701 JFK BOULEVARD, PHILIDELPHIA PA 19103
Maritza Gomez Montiel director C/O APTARGROUP, INC., 265 EXCHANGE DRIVE, SUITE 100, CRYSTAL LAKE IL 60014
Adam Louis Miller officer: Sr. EVP ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103-2838
Dana Strong officer: CEO - Sky C/O COMCAST CORPORATION, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103-2838
Jeff Shell officer: CEO - NBCUniversal C/O COMCAST CORPORATION, ONE COMCAST CENTER, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Naomi M. Bergman director 210 E. EARLL DRIVE, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Sheldon M Bonovitz director
David L Cohen officer: Executive Vice President