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Chesapeake Energy (Chesapeake Energy) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $105.29 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Chesapeake Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Chesapeake Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $105.29. The stock price of Chesapeake Energy is $91.47. Therefore, Chesapeake Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chesapeake Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.73   Med: 1.16   Max: 1.65
Current: 0.87

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chesapeake Energy was 1.65. The lowest was 0.73. And the median was 1.16.

CHK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.37% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs CHK: 0.87

Chesapeake Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chesapeake Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chesapeake Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Chesapeake Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 967.87 -472.59 39.04 81.50 105.29

Chesapeake Energy Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 81.50 99.18 100.65 103.91 105.29

Competitive Comparison of Chesapeake Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Chesapeake Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chesapeake Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Chesapeake Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chesapeake Energy's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Chesapeake Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Chesapeake Energy's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $663.52.

Chesapeake Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*663.52+10729*0.8)/141.515
=105.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chesapeake Energy  (NAS:CHK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Chesapeake Energy's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=91.47/105.29020733459
=0.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chesapeake Energy Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Chesapeake Energy's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Chesapeake Energy (Chesapeake Energy) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6100 North Western Avenue, Oklahoma City, OK, USA, 73118
Chesapeake Energy Corp is a us-based exploration and production company. It is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties for the production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from underground reservoirs. Geographically, the company focuses on areas of Marcellus, Northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania; Haynesville, Northwestern Louisiana (Gulf Coast); and Eagle Ford, South Texas.
Executives
Michael Wichterich director C/O EXTRACTION OIL & GAS, 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 5300, DENVER CO 80202
Dell'osso Domenic J Jr officer: Exec. Vice President & CFO 6100 N. WESTERN AVE., OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73118
Joshua J. Viets officer: EVP & COO 6100 N. WESTERN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73118
Blackstone Holdings Iii L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Vine Intermediate Holdco L.p. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Vine Ml Holdco Gp L.l.c. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Vine Ml Holdco L.p. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Bx Vine (pub) Aggregator L.p. 10 percent owner 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Brookfield Us Inc. 10 percent owner BROOKFIELD PLACE, 250 VESEY STREET, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281-1023
Bam Partners Trust 10 percent owner 181 BAY STREET, SUITE 300, TORONTO A6 M5J 2T3
Ocm Xi Chk Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 333 S. GRAND AVE., 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Ocm Xb Chk Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 333 S. GRAND AVE., 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Brookfield Public Securities Group Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 250 VESEY STREET, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Gregory M. Larson officer: VP-Accounting & Controller 6100 N. WESTERN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73118
Mohit Singh officer: EVP & CFO 6100 N. WESTERN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73118