GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (NYSE:DKS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
中文

Dick's Sporting Goods (Dick's Sporting Goods) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $362.59 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2002. Start your Free Trial

What is Dick's Sporting Goods Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-04-25), Dick's Sporting Goods's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $362.59.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Dick's Sporting Goods's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Dick's Sporting Goods is 43.33%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dick's Sporting Goods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

DKS' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.31   Med: 0.46   Max: 0.64
Current: 0.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Dick's Sporting Goods was 0.64. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 0.46.

DKS's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
65.54% of 148 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.775 vs DKS: 0.57

Dick's Sporting Goods Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dick's Sporting Goods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dick's Sporting Goods Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Dick's Sporting Goods Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 69.18 109.09 369.95 285.74 398.72

Dick's Sporting Goods Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 285.74 311.31 299.63 281.33 398.72

Competitive Comparison of Dick's Sporting Goods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Dick's Sporting Goods's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dick's Sporting Goods's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dick's Sporting Goods's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dick's Sporting Goods's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Dick's Sporting Goods Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.65%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 18.60%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Dick's Sporting Goods's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 18.60%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 18.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $12.746.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Dick's Sporting Goods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.186)/(1+0.11) = 1.0684684684685
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=12.746*28.4472
=362.59

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(362.59-205.48)/362.59
=43.33 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dick's Sporting Goods  (NYSE:DKS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Dick's Sporting Goods Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dick's Sporting Goods's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dick's Sporting Goods (Dick's Sporting Goods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
345 Court Street, Coraopolis, PA, USA, 15108
Dick's Sporting Goods retails athletic apparel, footwear, and equipment for sports. Dick's operates digital platforms, about 725 stores under its namesake brand (including outlet stores), and about 135 specialty stores under the Golf Galaxy, Moosejaw, and Public Lands nameplates. Dick's carries private-label merchandise and national brands such as Nike, The North Face, Under Armour, Callaway Golf, and TaylorMade. Based in the Pittsburgh area, Dick's was founded in 1948 by the father of current executive chairman and controlling shareholder Edward Stack.
Executives
Lawrence J Schorr director 200 PLAZA DRIVE, VESTAL NY 13850
Vladimir Rak officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Julie Lodge-jarrett officer: SVP, Chief People Officer 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Larry Jr. Fitzgerald director 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Robert W. Eddy director 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
William Colombo Trustee U/a Dtd 10/05/2020 Edward W Stack Non-grantor Trust 10 percent owner 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
William J Colombo director
Sandeep Mathrani director
Navdeep Gupta officer: See Remarks 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Hayes John Edward Iii officer: SVP, General Counsel 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Mark J Barrenechea director C/O SILICON GRAPHICS INTERNATIONAL CORP, 46600 LANDING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Anne Fink director 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Lauren R Hobart officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15275
Edward W Stack director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman & CEO 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Sliva Raymond A. Jr. officer: EVP, Stores 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108