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Advance Auto Parts (Advance Auto Parts) Graham Number

: $16.17 (As of Dec. 2023)
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Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-20), the stock price of Advance Auto Parts is $78.69. Advance Auto Parts's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $16.17. Therefore, Advance Auto Parts's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 4.87.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advance Auto Parts's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

AAP' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.8   Med: 2.67   Max: 6.47
Current: 5.92

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Advance Auto Parts was 6.47. The lowest was 1.80. And the median was 2.67.

AAP's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
91.44% of 701 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 1.27 vs AAP: 5.92

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Advance Auto Parts Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advance Auto Parts's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Graham Number
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 70.12 87.64 80.43 69.93 13.29

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 62.61 58.74 57.88 41.05 16.17

Competitive Comparison

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Advance Auto Parts's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Auto Parts Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Advance Auto Parts's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Advance Auto Parts Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Advance Auto Parts's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*15.705*0.5)
=13.29

Advance Auto Parts's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*15.705*0.74)
=16.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Advance Auto Parts  (NYSE:AAP) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Advance Auto Parts's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=78.69/16.17
=4.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Advance Auto Parts Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Advance Auto Parts's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Advance Auto Parts (Advance Auto Parts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
Advance Auto Parts is one of the industry's largest retailers of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, and accessories to do-it-yourself customers and third-party vehicle repair facilities in North America. Advance operated 5,086 stores as of the end of 2022, in addition to servicing 1,311 independently owned Carquest stores. The company's Worldpac chain is a premier distributor of imported original-equipment parts. Advance derived 59% of its 2022 sales from commercial clients, with the remainder from DIY shoppers.
Executives
Kristen L Soler officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer 12200 FOX VALLEY STREET, RALEIGH NC 27614
Lee Eugene I Jr director 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Shane M Okelly director, officer: Director, President and CEO 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Anthony A Iskander officer: Interim CFO, SVP, Fin & Treas 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Douglas A Pertz director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Joan M Hilson director 150 THORN HILL DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15086-7528
John Francis Ferraro director 9 WALNUT AVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Carla Jean Bailo director 1775 SHERMAN STREET, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80203
Jones Jeffrey J Ii director ONE H&R BLOCK WAY, KANSAS CITY MO 64105
Szilagyi J Stephen officer: EVP Chief Supply Chain Officer 15027 JUNE WASHAM ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Word Herman L Jr officer: EVP, U.S. Stores & CQ Ind. 1033 LINENHALL WAY, WAKE FOREST NC 27587
Pellicciotti William J Jr officer: SVP, Controller and CAO 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Robert B Cushing officer: EVP, Commercial 1432 FREEMAN LANE, PLEASANTON VA 94566
Sherice Torres director PO BOX 20833, SAN JOSE CA 95160
Natalie Schechtman officer: SVP Human Resources 45 ROUND HOUSE ROAD, BEDFORD NY 10506

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