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Toll Brothers (Toll Brothers) Shiller PE Ratio

: 18.67 (As of Today)
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As of today (2024-04-19), Toll Brothers's current share price is $112.21. Toll Brothers's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $6.01. Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio for today is 18.67.

The historical rank and industry rank for Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

TOL' s Shiller PE Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 6.56   Med: 27.75   Max: 118.29
Current: 18.67

During the past years, Toll Brothers's highest Shiller PE Ratio was 118.29. The lowest was 6.56. And the median was 27.75.

TOL's Shiller PE Ratio is ranked worse than
75% of 72 companies
in the Homebuilding & Construction industry
Industry Median: 11.465 vs TOL: 18.67

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Toll Brothers's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $2.250. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our E10, which is $6.01 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Toll Brothers Shiller PE Ratio Historical Data

The historical data trend for Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Toll Brothers Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Shiller PE Ratio
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.05 15.60 17.07 9.45 12.13

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Shiller PE Ratio Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.54 12.59 14.72 12.13 16.54

Competitive Comparison

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toll Brothers Shiller PE Ratio Distribution

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Toll Brothers Shiller PE Ratio Calculation

For Shiller PE Ratio, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller PE Ratio is also called PE10.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio for today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/ E10
=112.21/6.01
=18.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toll Brothers's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Toll Brothers's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS=Earnings per Share (Diluted)/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=2.25/129.4194*129.4194
=2.250

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Toll Brothers Quarterly Data

Earnings per Share (Diluted) CPI Adj_EPS
201404 0.350 100.023 0.453
201407 0.530 100.520 0.682
201410 0.710 100.176 0.917
201501 0.440 98.604 0.578
201504 0.370 99.824 0.480
201507 0.360 100.691 0.463
201510 0.800 100.346 1.032
201601 0.400 99.957 0.518
201604 0.510 100.947 0.654
201607 0.610 101.524 0.778
201610 0.670 101.988 0.850
201701 0.420 102.456 0.531
201704 0.730 103.167 0.916
201707 0.870 103.278 1.090
201710 1.170 104.070 1.455
201801 0.830 104.578 1.027
201804 0.720 105.708 0.882
201807 1.260 106.324 1.534
201810 2.080 106.695 2.523
201901 0.760 106.200 0.926
201904 0.870 107.818 1.044
201907 1.000 108.250 1.196
201910 1.410 108.577 1.681
202001 0.410 108.841 0.488
202004 0.590 108.173 0.706
202007 0.900 109.318 1.065
202010 1.550 109.861 1.826
202101 0.760 110.364 0.891
202104 1.010 112.673 1.160
202107 1.870 115.183 2.101
202110 3.020 116.696 3.349
202201 1.240 118.619 1.353
202204 1.850 121.978 1.963
202207 2.350 125.002 2.433
202210 5.630 125.734 5.795
202301 1.700 126.223 1.743
202304 2.850 127.992 2.882
202307 3.730 128.974 3.743
202310 4.110 129.810 4.098
202401 2.250 129.419 2.250

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Toll Brothers  (NYSE:TOL) Shiller PE Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PE Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Shiller PE Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of profit margins during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Shiller PE Ratio should give similar results to regular PE Ratio.

Compared with the PS Ratio, the Shiller PE Ratio makes the comparison between different industries more meaningful.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio assumes that over the long term, businesses and profitability revert to their means. If a company's business model does not work in the future compared with the past, Shiller PE Ratio and PS Ratio will give false valuations.


Toll Brothers Shiller PE Ratio Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Toll Brothers's Shiller PE Ratio provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Toll Brothers (Toll Brothers) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, USA, 19034
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States with an average sale price well above public competitors'. The company operates in over 60 markets across 24 states and caters to move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. Traditional homebuilding operations represent most of company's revenue. Toll Brothers also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers across the U.S. It has its headquarters in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
Executives
Paul E Shapiro director
Martin P. Connor officer: Chief Financial Officer 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
John A Mclean director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 GIBRALTAR ROAD, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Yearley Douglas C. Jr. officer: Executive Vice President 250 GIBRALTAR ROAD, HORSHAM PA 19044
Carl B Marbach director 17730 SCARSDALE WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33496
Robert Parahus officer: EVP,Co-Chief Operating Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Michael J. Grubb officer: Chief Accounting Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Christine Garvey director 14100 E 35TH PLACE, AURORA CO 80011
Derek T. Kan director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Richard J Braemer director 324 SPRUCE ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19106
Scott D Stowell director
Robert I Toll director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19006
Edward G Boehne director 313 DEVON STATE ST, DEVON PA 19333
Stephen F. East director TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
James W. Boyd officer: EVP,Co-Chief Operating Officer TOLL BROTHERS, INC., 1140 VIRGINIA DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034