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Ford Motor Co (Ford Motor Co) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 26.08% (As of Dec. 2023)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ford Motor Co's forward rate of return for was 26.08%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

F' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.73   Med: 24.89   Max: 92.54
Current: 25.51

During the past 13 years, Ford Motor Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 92.54. The lowest was -2.73. And the median was 24.89.

F's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
91.44% of 935 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 5.5 vs F: 25.51

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ford Motor Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ford Motor Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 53.69 34.64 27.22 28.66 26.08

Ford Motor Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.66 27.10 24.91 28.45 26.08

Competitive Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ford Motor Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Ford Motor Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=2.08780952/12.19+0.0895
=26.08 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ford Motor Co  (NYSE:F) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ford Motor Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ford Motor Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ford Motor Co (Ford Motor Co) Business Description

Industry
Address
One American Road, Dearborn, MI, USA, 48126
Ford Motor Co. manufactures automobiles under its Ford and Lincoln brands. In March 2022, the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor. The company has about 13% market share in the United States, about 6.5% share in Europe, and about 2.1% share in China including unconsolidated affiliates. We expect market share to increase as inventory improves coming out of the chip shortage. Sales in the U.S. made up about 67% of 2022 total company revenue. Ford has about 173,000 employees, including about 57,000 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
Executives
John Douglas Field officer: Chief AT&ES Officer ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Andrew Frick officer: President, Ford Blue ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Peter C Stern officer: President, Integrated Services C/O FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
John T. Lawler officer: Vice President and Controller ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Farley Jr James D officer: Group Vice President FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Ashwani Kumar Galhotra officer: Group Vice President ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48138
Theodore J. Cannis officer: CEO of Ford Pro ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Shengpo Wu officer: President and CEO, Ford China ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Stuart J. Rowley officer: Vice President and Controller ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Jennifer Waldo officer: Chief People & E. Exp. Officer ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Marin Gjaja officer: Chief Cust. Off., Ford Model e ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Ford William Clay Jr director, officer: Chairman and CEO FORD MOTOR COMPANY, ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
Alexandra Ford English director ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126
May John C Ii director DEERE & COMPANY, ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE, MOLINE IL 61265
Catherine A. O'callaghan officer: Vice President and Controller ONE AMERICAN ROAD, DEARBORN MI 48126

Ford Motor Co (Ford Motor Co) Headlines