Frontier Group Holdings Inc's Meteoric Rise: Unpacking the 27% Surge in Just 3 Months

Frontier Group Holdings Inc (ULCC, Financial), an ultra-low-cost carrier, has experienced a significant stock price fluctuation over the past few months. With a current market capitalization of $1.66 billion and a stock price of $7.45, the company has seen a 1.65% loss over the past week. However, looking at a broader timeframe, Frontier's stock has gained an impressive 27.40% over the past three months. Despite this growth, the GF Value, which stands at $16.21, suggests caution, labeling the stock as a possible value trap, a sentiment echoed in the past GF Value of $17.97.

Understanding Frontier Group Holdings Inc

Frontier Group Holdings Inc operates in the transportation industry, focusing on providing low fares through its fleet of 120 Airbus single-aisle aircraft. The company's business model and operational strategies have contributed to its reputation as one of the most fuel-efficient carriers in the U.S. Despite the recent stock performance, the company's valuation by GuruFocus remains cautious, advising investors to think twice before investing, as indicated by the current and past GF Valuations. 1772281370131984384.png

Profitability Analysis

Frontier's Profitability Rank is currently at 5/10. The company's operating margin stands at -0.06%, which is better than 16.8% of the industry. Its Return on Equity (ROE) is -2.11%, surpassing 14.41% of its peers. The Return on Assets (ROA) at -0.23% and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) at 0.01% also outperform 19.13% and 18.84% of the industry, respectively. Over the past decade, Frontier has managed to be profitable for five years, which is better than 27.64% of the industry. 1772281388893106176.png

Growth Prospects

The company's Growth Rank is also positioned at 5/10. Frontier has demonstrated robust growth with a 3-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share of 41.00%, outperforming 92.25% of the industry. Its 5-Year Revenue Growth Rate per Share is 11.40%, which is better than 77.78% of its peers. These figures indicate that Frontier has been expanding its revenue streams at a rate that is commendable within the transportation sector. 1772281406232358912.png

Investor Confidence

PRIMECAP Management (Trades, Portfolio) is the leading holder in Frontier, with 113,200 shares, representing a 0.05% share percentage. This investment by a notable firm suggests a level of confidence in the company's future performance and strategic direction.

Competitive Landscape

When compared to its competitors, Frontier holds a substantial market cap advantage. Sun Country Airlines Holdings Inc (SNCY, Financial) has a market cap of $743.145 million, Allegiant Travel Co (ALGT, Financial) is valued at $1.32 billion, and Air Transport Services Group Inc (ATSG, Financial) stands at $838.101 million. Frontier's larger market cap could be indicative of its stronger position within the industry.

Conclusion

In summary, Frontier Group Holdings Inc has shown a remarkable stock price increase over the past three months, despite a slight dip in the past week. The company's valuation remains a concern, with the GF Value suggesting it may be a value trap. However, Frontier's profitability metrics, particularly its operating margin and ROIC, are commendable when compared to industry averages. The company's growth rates in revenue per share over the past three and five years are also impressive, indicating a strong trajectory. With significant investment from PRIMECAP Management (Trades, Portfolio) and a competitive market cap relative to its peers, Frontier Group Holdings Inc presents an interesting case for investors looking for opportunities within the transportation sector.

This article, generated by GuruFocus, is designed to provide general insights and is not tailored financial advice. Our commentary is rooted in historical data and analyst projections, utilizing an impartial methodology, and is not intended to serve as specific investment guidance. It does not formulate a recommendation to purchase or divest any stock and does not consider individual investment objectives or financial circumstances. Our objective is to deliver long-term, fundamental data-driven analysis. Be aware that our analysis might not incorporate the most recent, price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative information. GuruFocus holds no position in the stocks mentioned herein.

Disclosures

I/We may personally own shares in some of the companies mentioned above. However, those positions are not material to either the company or to my/our portfolios.